Purpose: To investigate Bitcoin’s cyclic price behavior around scheduled halving events, develop a technical‑analysis‑based active investment strategy tailored to these cycles, and rigorously assess its performance relative to a passive buy‑and‑hold benchmark.

Approach: This research employs historical daily BTC /USD price series (June 2012–May 2025), applies a suite of technical indicators to define systematic, halving‑anchored entry and exit rules, and then conducts rigorous statistical evaluations to test whether Bitcoin’s protocol‑driven supply cycles yield reproducible, actionable investment signals.

Acceder al documento: https://doi.org/10.37075/FABA.2025.2.10